Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Roma W to win @ 1.83 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoma W to win64% · @1.83
Double chanceRoma W or draw87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.49
Lazio W vs Roma W preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A Women sees Lazio W take on Roma W on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Campo Mirko Fersini. Lazio W are 11th with 3 points from 6 games (in the bottom three), while Roma W sit 1st on 18 points (top of the table). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Roma W's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Fiorentina W 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Lazio W and 1.9 for Roma W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lazio W 13%, draw 23%, Roma W 64%.
Safer route: Roma W or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Roma W to win at 1.83 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Roma W or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lazio W 0–1 Roma W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lazio W13%fair 7.64 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.30
Roma W64%fair 1.57 · @1.83
2.63Expected goals
0.74Lazio W xG
1.89Roma W xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lazio W 0.7 – 1.9 Roma W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roma W to win
64%
1.57
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Roma W or draw
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Roma W ahead at half-time
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roma W / FT Roma W
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.49
–
Form
Lazio W – last 2
DD
21 Feb
vs AC Milan W
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Juventus W
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Roma W – last 3
DWD
15 Mar
vs Fiorentina W
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Inter Milano W
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Napoli W
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lazio W and Roma W.
Our pick is Roma W or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lazio W vs Roma W?
On our numbers Lazio W have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Roma W 64%.
How many goals will there be in Lazio W vs Roma W?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lazio W vs Roma W?
Our predicted score is Lazio W 0–1 Roma W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lazio W vs Roma W?
Lazio W vs Roma W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Mirko Fersini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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