Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Roma W to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoma W to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceRoma W or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.77
Roma W vs Fiorentina W preview and prediction
The match
Fiorentina W travel to Stadio Tre Fontane in the Serie A Women on Sunday 15 March (18:00 WAT) to face Roma W. Roma W are 1st with 18 points from 6 games (top of the table), while Fiorentina W sit 4th on 10 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Roma W and 0.9 for Fiorentina W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Roma W 63%, draw 24%, Fiorentina W 13%.
Safer route: Roma W or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Roma W to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Roma W or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Roma W 2–0 Fiorentina W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Roma W63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.40
Fiorentina W13%fair 7.89 · @3.75
2.93Expected goals
2.07Roma W xG
0.86Fiorentina W xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Roma W 2.1 – 0.9 Fiorentina W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roma W to win✗
63%
1.58
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Roma W or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Roma W ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roma W / FT Roma W✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.77
–
Form
Roma W – last 2
WD
22 Feb
@ Inter Milano W
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Napoli W
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fiorentina W – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Sassuolo W
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roma W and Fiorentina W.
What is the prediction for Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
Our pick is Roma W or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
On our numbers Roma W have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fiorentina W 13%.
How many goals will there be in Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
Our predicted score is Roma W 2–0 Fiorentina W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Roma W vs Fiorentina W?
Roma W vs Fiorentina W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tre Fontane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
