Value bet: Sassuolo W to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultComo W to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.88
Como W vs Sassuolo W preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A Women sees Como W take on Sassuolo W on Saturday 14 February, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Stadio Ferruccio. Como W are 6th with 8 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Sassuolo W sit 12th on 2 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Como W and 1.2 for Sassuolo W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Como W 40%, draw 24%, Sassuolo W 36%.
Value angle: Sassuolo W to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Como W 1–1 Sassuolo W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Como W40%fair 2.53 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
Sassuolo W36%fair 2.78 · @3.10
2.39Expected goals
1.23Como W xG
1.16Sassuolo W xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Como W 1.2 – 1.2 Sassuolo W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como W to win✓
40%
2.53
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como W / FT Como W✓
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.88
–
Form
Como W
No recent results on record.
Sassuolo W
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Como W and Sassuolo W.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Como W vs Sassuolo W?
On our numbers Como W have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sassuolo W 36%.
How many goals will there be in Como W vs Sassuolo W?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Como W vs Sassuolo W?
Our predicted score is Como W 1–1 Sassuolo W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Como W vs Sassuolo W?
Como W vs Sassuolo W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ferruccio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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