Value bet: Baník Ostrava II to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZbrojovka Brno to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Baník Ostrava II vs Zbrojovka Brno preview and prediction
The match
Zbrojovka Brno travel to Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich in the FNL on Wednesday 6 May (16:00 WAT) to face Baník Ostrava II. Baník Ostrava II are 5th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Zbrojovka Brno sit 1st on 76 points (top of the table). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Baník Ostrava II's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Slavia Praha II 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Zbrojovka Brno's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Slavia Praha II 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Zbrojovka Brno arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Baník Ostrava II and 1.6 for Zbrojovka Brno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baník Ostrava II 32%, draw 21%, Zbrojovka Brno 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Baník Ostrava II to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Baník Ostrava II 1–1 Zbrojovka Brno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baník Ostrava II32%fair 3.14 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.30
Zbrojovka Brno47%fair 2.12 · @2.00
2.81Expected goals
1.24Baník Ostrava II xG
1.57Zbrojovka Brno xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–27%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Baník Ostrava II 1.2 – 1.6 Zbrojovka Brno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zbrojovka Brno to win✗
47%
2.12
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zbrojovka Brno / FT Zbrojovka Brno✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Form
Baník Ostrava II – last 6
WWDWWL
3 May
@ Slavia Praha II
3–0
W
26 Apr
vs Vysočina Jihlava
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Viktoria Žižkov
2–2
D
15 Apr
vs Opava
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Prostějov
3–1
W
4 Apr
vs Příbram
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zbrojovka Brno – last 6
WWWWWW
26 Apr
@ Slavia Praha II
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Viktoria Žižkov
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Chrudim
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Prostějov
2–1
W
16 Mar
vs Artis
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Táborsko
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baník Ostrava II and Zbrojovka Brno.
What is the prediction for Baník Ostrava II vs Zbrojovka Brno?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Baník Ostrava II vs Zbrojovka Brno?
On our numbers Baník Ostrava II have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Zbrojovka Brno 47%.
How many goals will there be in Baník Ostrava II vs Zbrojovka Brno?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baník Ostrava II vs Zbrojovka Brno?
Our predicted score is Baník Ostrava II 1–1 Zbrojovka Brno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Baník Ostrava II vs Zbrojovka Brno?
Baník Ostrava II vs Zbrojovka Brno (FNL) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
