Value bet: Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAD Carmelita to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.55
AD Carmelita vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC preview and prediction
The match
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC travel to face AD Carmelita in the Liga De Ascenso on Sunday 15 March (22:00 WAT). AD Carmelita are 11th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC sit 4th on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
AD Carmelita's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Cariari Pococi 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Santa Ana 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for AD Carmelita and 1.1 for Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Carmelita 39%, draw 23%, Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 38%.
Value angle: Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: AD Carmelita 1–1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Carmelita39%fair 2.59 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC38%fair 2.60 · @2.80
2.28Expected goals
1.14AD Carmelita xG
1.14Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: AD Carmelita 1.1 – 1.1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AD Carmelita to win✓
39%
2.59
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AD Carmelita / FT AD Carmelita✓
20%
4.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.55
–
Form
AD Carmelita – last 4
LWLL
12 Mar
@ Cariari Pococi
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Escorpiones Belén
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Santa Ana
1–2
L
19 Feb
@ Futbol Consultants Moravia
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC – last 6
WDWWLW
13 Mar
vs Santa Ana
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Aserri FC
0–0
D
26 Feb
vs Futbol Consultants Moravia
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ CS Uruguay
2–0
W
19 Feb
@ Aserri FC
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Cariari Pococi
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Carmelita and Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC.
What is the prediction for AD Carmelita vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win AD Carmelita vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
On our numbers AD Carmelita have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 38%.
How many goals will there be in AD Carmelita vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Carmelita vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
Our predicted score is AD Carmelita 1–1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is AD Carmelita vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
AD Carmelita vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
