Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.70
AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Ascenso sees AD Carmelita take on Santa Ana on Wednesday 25 February, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). AD Carmelita are 11th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Santa Ana sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for AD Carmelita and 1.1 for Santa Ana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Carmelita 47%, draw 21%, Santa Ana 32%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: AD Carmelita 1–1 Santa Ana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Carmelita47%fair 2.14 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Santa Ana32%fair 3.08 · @3.25
2.50Expected goals
1.40AD Carmelita xG
1.10Santa Ana xG
46%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: AD Carmelita 1.4 – 1.1 Santa Ana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AD Carmelita to win✗
47%
2.14
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AD Carmelita / FT AD Carmelita✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.70
–
Form
AD Carmelita – last 1
L
19 Feb
@ Futbol Consultants Moravia
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Santa Ana – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Aserri FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Carmelita and Santa Ana.
What is the prediction for AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
On our numbers AD Carmelita have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Santa Ana 32%.
How many goals will there be in AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
Our predicted score is AD Carmelita 1–1 Santa Ana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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