Value bet: Santa Ana to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Ana to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Aserri FC vs Santa Ana preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Ascenso sees Aserri FC take on Santa Ana on Friday 13 February, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Aserri FC and 1.3 for Santa Ana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aserri FC 38%, draw 24%, Santa Ana 38%.
Value angle: Santa Ana to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Aserri FC 1–2 Santa Ana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aserri FC38%fair 2.65 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Santa Ana38%fair 2.60 · @2.80
2.62Expected goals
1.30Aserri FC xG
1.32Santa Ana xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Aserri FC 1.3 – 1.3 Santa Ana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Ana to win✗
38%
2.60
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Ana / FT Santa Ana✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Form
Aserri FC
No recent results on record.
Santa Ana
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aserri FC and Santa Ana.
What is the prediction for Aserri FC vs Santa Ana?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Aserri FC vs Santa Ana?
On our numbers Aserri FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santa Ana 38%.
How many goals will there be in Aserri FC vs Santa Ana?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aserri FC vs Santa Ana?
Our predicted score is Aserri FC 1–2 Santa Ana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aserri FC vs Santa Ana?
Aserri FC vs Santa Ana (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
