Value bet: Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAserri FC to win ✓40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.19
Aserri FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Ascenso sees Aserri FC take on Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC on Thursday 19 February, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Aserri FC and 1.2 for Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aserri FC 40%, draw 24%, Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 36%.
Value angle: Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Aserri FC 1–1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aserri FC40%fair 2.50 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.20
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC36%fair 2.75 · @3.00
2.45Expected goals
1.26Aserri FC xG
1.19Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Aserri FC 1.3 – 1.2 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aserri FC to win✓
40%
2.50
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aserri FC / FT Aserri FC✓
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.19
–
Form
Aserri FC – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Santa Ana
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Cariari Pococi
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aserri FC and Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC.
What is the prediction for Aserri FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Aserri FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
On our numbers Aserri FC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Aserri FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aserri FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
Our predicted score is Aserri FC 1–1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aserri FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC?
Aserri FC vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
