Value bet: Al Thaid to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Thaid to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.41
Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid preview and prediction
The match
Al Hamriyah host Al Thaid in the Division 1 on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 14:50 (WAT) at Al-Hamriya Sports Club Stadium. Al Hamriyah are 6th with 14 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Al Thaid sit 7th on 13 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Hamriyah's last 4: DDLD Most recently they drew with Ittifaq 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Al Thaid's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Ittifaq 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Al Thaid arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Al Hamriyah and 1.3 for Al Thaid. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Hamriyah 35%, draw 24%, Al Thaid 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Al Thaid to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Al Hamriyah 1–1 Al Thaid. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Hamriyah35%fair 2.89 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Al Thaid41%fair 2.42 · @2.75
2.53Expected goals
1.19Al Hamriyah xG
1.34Al Thaid xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Al Hamriyah 1.2 – 1.3 Al Thaid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Thaid to win✗
41%
2.42
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Thaid / FT Al Thaid✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.41
–
Form
Al Hamriyah – last 4
DDLD
15 Mar
@ Ittifaq
0–0
D
26 Feb
@ Al Arabi
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Masfut
1–3
L
16 Feb
@ Gulf United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Thaid – last 5
WLWWD
22 Mar
vs Ittifaq
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Al Urooba
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Masfut
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Gulf United
3–1
W
16 Feb
@ Dubai United
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Hamriyah and Al Thaid.
What is the prediction for Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid?
On our numbers Al Hamriyah have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al Thaid 41%.
How many goals will there be in Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid?
Our predicted score is Al Hamriyah 1–1 Al Thaid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid?
Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid (Division 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:50 (West Africa Time) at Al-Hamriya Sports Club Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hatta SC1
Majd2