Value bet: Al Thaid to win @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Thaid to win ✓61% · @1.77
Double chanceAl Thaid or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.48
Al Thaid vs Gulf United preview and prediction
The match
Al Thaid host Gulf United in the Division 1 on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Al-Dhaid Stadium. Al Thaid are 7th with 13 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Gulf United sit 13th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Al Thaid and 0.9 for Gulf United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Thaid 61%, draw 25%, Gulf United 14%.
Safer route: Al Thaid or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Al Thaid to win at 1.77 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Al Thaid 2–0 Gulf United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Thaid61%fair 1.64 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.45
Gulf United14%fair 7.05 · @4.00
2.80Expected goals
1.94Al Thaid xG
0.86Gulf United xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Al Thaid 1.9 – 0.9 Gulf United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Thaid to win✓
61%
1.64
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Al Thaid or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.36
Half-time result
Al Thaid ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Thaid / FT Al Thaid✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.48
–
Form
Al Thaid – last 1
D
16 Feb
@ Dubai United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Gulf United – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs Al Hamriyah
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Thaid and Gulf United.
What is the prediction for Al Thaid vs Gulf United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Thaid vs Gulf United?
On our numbers Al Thaid have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gulf United 14%.
How many goals will there be in Al Thaid vs Gulf United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Thaid vs Gulf United?
Our predicted score is Al Thaid 2–0 Gulf United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al Thaid vs Gulf United?
Al Thaid vs Gulf United (Division 1) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Dhaid Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Masfut3