Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.98
Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar preview and prediction
The match
Murang'a SEAL host Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League on Sunday 31 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Murang'a SEAL are 8th with 8 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Mara Sugar sit 6th on 9 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Murang'a SEAL's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Bidco United 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Mara Sugar's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Shabana 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mara Sugar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Murang'a SEAL and 0.9 for Mara Sugar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Murang'a SEAL 50%, draw 11%, Mara Sugar 39%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 84% chance. Predicted score: Murang'a SEAL 1–0 Mara Sugar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Murang'a SEAL50%fair 2.00
Draw11%fair 9.09
Mara Sugar39%fair 2.56
2.08Expected goals
1.15Murang'a SEAL xG
0.93Mara Sugar xG
45%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 1.1 – 0.9 Mara Sugar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Murang'a SEAL to win✓
50%
2.00
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Murang'a SEAL / FT Murang'a SEAL✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.98
–
Form
Murang'a SEAL – last 6
WWLLLL
24 May
@ Bidco United
2–0
W
10 May
vs Homeboyz
1–0
W
6 May
@ Police
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Nairobi United
2–4
L
5 Apr
vs AFC Leopards
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Shabana
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mara Sugar – last 6
WWWWDL
13 May
vs Shabana
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Tusker
1–0
W
18 Apr
@ Kariobangi Sharks
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Nairobi United
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ KCB
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murang'a SEAL and Mara Sugar.
What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar?
On our numbers Murang'a SEAL have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Mara Sugar 39%.
How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar?
Our predicted score is Murang'a SEAL 1–0 Mara Sugar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar?
Murang'a SEAL vs Mara Sugar (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
