Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka prediction & analysis
89%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKariobangi Sharks to win ✓56% · fair 1.79
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.52
Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees Kariobangi Sharks take on Sofapaka on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Kariobangi Sharks's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Police 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sofapaka's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to KCB 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Kariobangi Sharks arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.1 for Kariobangi Sharks and 0.7 for Sofapaka. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 89% chance. Predicted score: Kariobangi Sharks 1–0 Sofapaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kariobangi Sharks56%fair 1.79
Draw11%fair 9.09
Sofapaka33%fair 3.03
1.83Expected goals
1.13Kariobangi Sharks xG
0.70Sofapaka xG
38%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Kariobangi Sharks 1.1 – 0.7 Sofapaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kariobangi Sharks to win✓
56%
1.79
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kariobangi Sharks / FT Kariobangi Sharks✓
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.52
–
Form
Kariobangi Sharks – last 6
DDWDLD
27 May
@ Police
1–1
D
23 May
vs Homeboyz
2–2
D
10 May
vs Nairobi United
2–0
W
3 May
@ Bidco United
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Mara Sugar
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ GOR Mahia
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sofapaka – last 6
LDLDLD
27 May
vs KCB
1–2
L
24 May
vs Shabana
1–1
D
11 May
@ Posta Rangers FC
0–3
L
2 May
vs Mathare United
2–2
D
26 Apr
@ APS Bomet
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Bandari
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kariobangi Sharks and Sofapaka.
What is the prediction for Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 89% chance.
Who will win Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka?
On our numbers Kariobangi Sharks have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Sofapaka 33%.
How many goals will there be in Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka?
Our predicted score is Kariobangi Sharks 1–0 Sofapaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka?
Kariobangi Sharks vs Sofapaka (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
