Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.05
Police vs Homeboyz preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees Police take on Homeboyz on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Police's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Kariobangi Sharks 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Homeboyz's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Kariobangi Sharks 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Police arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Police and 0.8 for Homeboyz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Police 56%, draw 11%, Homeboyz 33%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 86% chance. Predicted score: Police 1–0 Homeboyz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Police56%fair 1.79
Draw11%fair 9.09
Homeboyz33%fair 3.03
2.00Expected goals
1.22Police xG
0.78Homeboyz xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Police 1.2 – 0.8 Homeboyz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Police to win✗
56%
1.79
–
Double chance
Either team to win✗
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Police / FT Police✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.05
–
Form
Police – last 6
DDDWWD
27 May
vs Kariobangi Sharks
1–1
D
24 May
@ Nairobi United
0–0
D
10 May
@ GOR Mahia
1–1
D
6 May
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–1
W
2 May
@ Shabana
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Mathare United
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Homeboyz – last 6
DLLDDW
23 May
@ Kariobangi Sharks
2–2
D
10 May
@ Murang'a SEAL
0–1
L
3 May
vs GOR Mahia
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ KCB
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Nairobi United
2–2
D
4 Apr
vs Mathare United
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Police and Homeboyz.
On our numbers Police have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Homeboyz 33%.
How many goals will there be in Police vs Homeboyz?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Police vs Homeboyz?
Our predicted score is Police 1–0 Homeboyz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Police vs Homeboyz?
Police vs Homeboyz (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
