Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.31
GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United preview and prediction
The match
GOR Mahia host Nairobi United in the FKF Premier League on Sunday 31 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). GOR Mahia are 1st with 13 points from 6 games (top of the table), while Nairobi United sit 15th on 5 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
GOR Mahia's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Police 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nairobi United's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Police 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for GOR Mahia and 1.1 for Nairobi United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: GOR Mahia 44%, draw 13%, Nairobi United 43%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance. Predicted score: GOR Mahia 1–1 Nairobi United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GOR Mahia44%fair 2.27
Draw13%fair 7.69
Nairobi United43%fair 2.33
2.24Expected goals
1.13GOR Mahia xG
1.11Nairobi United xG
46%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: GOR Mahia 1.1 – 1.1 Nairobi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GOR Mahia to win✗
44%
2.27
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia✗
20%
4.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.31
–
Form
GOR Mahia – last 6
DWWDLD
10 May
vs Police
1–1
D
3 May
@ Homeboyz
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ AFC Leopards
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Bandari
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Tusker
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Kariobangi Sharks
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nairobi United – last 6
DLWLWD
24 May
vs Police
0–0
D
10 May
@ Kariobangi Sharks
0–2
L
6 May
vs Tusker
1–0
W
3 May
vs KCB
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Murang'a SEAL
4–2
W
8 Apr
vs Homeboyz
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GOR Mahia and Nairobi United.
What is the prediction for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
On our numbers GOR Mahia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Nairobi United 43%.
How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
Our predicted score is GOR Mahia 1–1 Nairobi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
