Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKariobangi Sharks to win ✗54% · fair 1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.42
Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees Kariobangi Sharks take on Homeboyz on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Kariobangi Sharks's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Nairobi United 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Homeboyz's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Murang'a SEAL 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Kariobangi Sharks and 0.8 for Homeboyz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 85% chance. Predicted score: Kariobangi Sharks 1–0 Homeboyz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kariobangi Sharks54%fair 1.85
Draw11%fair 9.09
Homeboyz35%fair 2.86
2.05Expected goals
1.21Kariobangi Sharks xG
0.84Homeboyz xG
42%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kariobangi Sharks 1.2 – 0.8 Homeboyz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kariobangi Sharks to win✗
54%
1.85
–
Double chance
Either team to win✗
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kariobangi Sharks / FT Kariobangi Sharks✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.42
–
Form
Kariobangi Sharks – last 6
WDLDLL
10 May
vs Nairobi United
2–0
W
3 May
@ Bidco United
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Mara Sugar
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ GOR Mahia
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Homeboyz – last 6
LLDDWW
10 May
@ Murang'a SEAL
0–1
L
3 May
vs GOR Mahia
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ KCB
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Nairobi United
2–2
D
4 Apr
vs Mathare United
3–0
W
28 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kariobangi Sharks and Homeboyz.
What is the prediction for Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 85% chance.
Who will win Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz?
On our numbers Kariobangi Sharks have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Homeboyz 35%.
How many goals will there be in Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz?
Our predicted score is Kariobangi Sharks 1–0 Homeboyz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz?
Kariobangi Sharks vs Homeboyz (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
