Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Nairobi United vs Police preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees Nairobi United take on Police on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Nairobi United's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Kariobangi Sharks 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Police's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with GOR Mahia 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Nairobi United and 1.1 for Police. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nairobi United 40%, draw 13%, Police 47%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 86% chance. Predicted score: Nairobi United 0–1 Police. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nairobi United40%fair 2.50
Draw13%fair 7.69
Police47%fair 2.13
1.98Expected goals
0.92Nairobi United xG
1.06Police xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Nairobi United 0.9 – 1.1 Police expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Police to win✗
47%
2.13
–
Double chance
Either team to win✗
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.85
–
Form
Nairobi United – last 6
LWLWDW
10 May
@ Kariobangi Sharks
0–2
L
6 May
vs Tusker
1–0
W
3 May
vs KCB
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Murang'a SEAL
4–2
W
8 Apr
vs Homeboyz
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Shabana
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Police – last 6
DWWDWL
10 May
@ GOR Mahia
1–1
D
6 May
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–1
W
2 May
@ Shabana
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Mathare United
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Tusker
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nairobi United and Police.
What is the prediction for Nairobi United vs Police?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 86% chance.
Who will win Nairobi United vs Police?
On our numbers Nairobi United have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Police 47%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi United vs Police?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nairobi United vs Police?
Our predicted score is Nairobi United 0–1 Police, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Nairobi United vs Police?
Nairobi United vs Police (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
