Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.64
APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees APS Bomet take on AFC Leopards on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). APS Bomet are 13th with 6 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while AFC Leopards sit 3rd on 10 points (in the top four).
Form guide
APS Bomet's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Bandari 2–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.0 conceded. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AFC Leopards's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Ulinzi Stars 2–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
APS Bomet arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for APS Bomet and 1.2 for AFC Leopards. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: APS Bomet 36%, draw 11%, AFC Leopards 53%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 84% chance. Predicted score: APS Bomet 0–1 AFC Leopards. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
APS Bomet36%fair 2.78
Draw11%fair 9.09
AFC Leopards53%fair 1.89
2.08Expected goals
0.87APS Bomet xG
1.21AFC Leopards xG
44%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: APS Bomet 0.9 – 1.2 AFC Leopards expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Leopards to win✗
53%
1.89
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Leopards / FT AFC Leopards✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.64
–
Form
APS Bomet – last 6
WWWWWW
20 May
@ Bandari
2–0
W
10 May
@ Mathare United
2–0
W
6 May
vs KCB
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Sofapaka
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Posta Rangers FC
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
AFC Leopards – last 6
WLWWWW
13 May
@ Ulinzi Stars
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs GOR Mahia
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Murang'a SEAL
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Kariobangi Sharks
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Tusker
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Nairobi United
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APS Bomet and AFC Leopards.
What is the prediction for APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance.
Who will win APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards?
On our numbers APS Bomet have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 11% and AFC Leopards 53%.
How many goals will there be in APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards?
Our predicted score is APS Bomet 0–1 AFC Leopards, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards?
APS Bomet vs AFC Leopards (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
