Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.08
GOR Mahia vs Police preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees GOR Mahia take on Police on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
GOR Mahia's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Homeboyz 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Police's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Murang'a SEAL 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for GOR Mahia and 1.0 for Police. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: GOR Mahia 38%, draw 11%, Police 51%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 88% chance. Predicted score: GOR Mahia 0–1 Police. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GOR Mahia38%fair 2.63
Draw11%fair 9.09
Police51%fair 1.96
1.85Expected goals
0.80GOR Mahia xG
1.05Police xG
39%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: GOR Mahia 0.8 – 1.0 Police expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Police to win✗
51%
1.96
–
Double chance
Either team to win✗
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.08
–
Form
GOR Mahia – last 6
WWDLDW
3 May
@ Homeboyz
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ AFC Leopards
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Bandari
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Tusker
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Kariobangi Sharks
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Ulinzi Stars
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Police – last 6
WWDWLW
6 May
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–1
W
2 May
@ Shabana
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Mathare United
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Tusker
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Bandari
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GOR Mahia and Police.
On our numbers GOR Mahia have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Police 51%.
How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs Police?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GOR Mahia vs Police?
Our predicted score is GOR Mahia 0–1 Police, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is GOR Mahia vs Police?
GOR Mahia vs Police (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
