Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNairobi United to win ✗60% · fair 1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.68
Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United preview and prediction
The match
Nairobi United travel to face Kariobangi Sharks in the FKF Premier League on Sunday 10 May (12:00 WAT).
Form guide
Kariobangi Sharks's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Bidco United 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Nairobi United's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Tusker 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Nairobi United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.7 for Kariobangi Sharks and 1.3 for Nairobi United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kariobangi Sharks 29%, draw 11%, Nairobi United 60%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 86% chance. Predicted score: Kariobangi Sharks 0–1 Nairobi United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kariobangi Sharks29%fair 3.45
Draw11%fair 9.09
Nairobi United60%fair 1.67
2.00Expected goals
0.70Kariobangi Sharks xG
1.30Nairobi United xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–014%
1–112%
0–211%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: Kariobangi Sharks 0.7 – 1.3 Nairobi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nairobi United to win✗
60%
1.67
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nairobi United / FT Nairobi United✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.68
–
Form
Kariobangi Sharks – last 6
DLDLLW
3 May
@ Bidco United
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Mara Sugar
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ GOR Mahia
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Shabana
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nairobi United – last 6
WLWDWD
6 May
vs Tusker
1–0
W
3 May
vs KCB
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Murang'a SEAL
4–2
W
8 Apr
vs Homeboyz
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Shabana
3–0
W
1 Apr
vs Mara Sugar
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kariobangi Sharks and Nairobi United.
What is the prediction for Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 86% chance.
Who will win Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United?
On our numbers Kariobangi Sharks have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Nairobi United 60%.
How many goals will there be in Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United?
Our predicted score is Kariobangi Sharks 0–1 Nairobi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United?
Kariobangi Sharks vs Nairobi United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
