Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
2–0
FT

Tusker

LWLWL

Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker prediction & analysis

87%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultTusker to win ✗50% · fair 2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.41

Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker preview and prediction

The match

The FKF Premier League sees Ulinzi Stars take on Tusker on Wednesday 27 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Ulinzi Stars are 14th with 6 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while Tusker sit 11th on 6 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Ulinzi Stars's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Mathare United 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Tusker's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Bandari 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Ulinzi Stars 1–2 Tusker.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Ulinzi Stars and 1.1 for Tusker. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 87% chance. Predicted score: Ulinzi Stars 0–1 Tusker. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ulinzi Stars39%fair 2.56
Draw11%fair 9.09
Tusker50%fair 2.00
1.92Expected goals
0.86Ulinzi Stars xG
1.06Tusker xG
41%Both score
30%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%

From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 0.9 – 1.1 Tusker expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTusker to win ✗50%2.00–
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓57%1.75–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗23%4.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.41–

Form

Ulinzi Stars – last 6

WLDLLW
23 Mayvs Mathare United2–1W
13 Mayvs AFC Leopards0–2L
9 May@ Shabana0–0D
3 Mayvs Tusker1–2L
4 Aprvs APS Bomet0–1L
29 Marvs Sofapaka2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tusker – last 6

LWLWLW
24 May@ Bandari0–1L
10 Mayvs Bidco United2–0W
6 May@ Nairobi United0–1L
3 May@ Ulinzi Stars2–1W
24 Aprvs Mara Sugar0–1L
14 Aprvs GOR Mahia1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Ulinzi Stars v Tusker1–2
Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 87% chance.

Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?

On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Tusker 50%.

How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?

Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 0–1 Tusker, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?

Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 27 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.