Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗65% · fair 1.54
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.96
Police vs Kariobangi Sharks preview and prediction
The match
Police host Kariobangi Sharks in the FKF Premier League on Wednesday 27 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Police's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Nairobi United 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kariobangi Sharks's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Homeboyz 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Police arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 1.0 for Police and 0.6 for Kariobangi Sharks. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 92% chance. Predicted score: Police 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Police56%fair 1.79
Draw11%fair 9.09
Kariobangi Sharks33%fair 3.03
1.61Expected goals
1.01Police xG
0.60Kariobangi Sharks xG
35%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–020%
1–112%
0–112%
2–010%
2–16%
From our goals model: Police 1.0 – 0.6 Kariobangi Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Police to win✗
56%
1.79
–
Double chance
Either team to win✗
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
4.96
–
Form
Police – last 6
DDWWDW
24 May
@ Nairobi United
0–0
D
10 May
@ GOR Mahia
1–1
D
6 May
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–1
W
2 May
@ Shabana
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Mathare United
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Tusker
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Kariobangi Sharks – last 6
DWDLDL
23 May
vs Homeboyz
2–2
D
10 May
vs Nairobi United
2–0
W
3 May
@ Bidco United
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Mara Sugar
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ GOR Mahia
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Police and Kariobangi Sharks.
What is the prediction for Police vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 92% chance.
Who will win Police vs Kariobangi Sharks?
On our numbers Police have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Kariobangi Sharks 33%.
How many goals will there be in Police vs Kariobangi Sharks?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Police vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our predicted score is Police 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Police vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Police vs Kariobangi Sharks (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 27 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
