Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗63% · fair 1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.04
Police vs Murang'a SEAL preview and prediction
The match
Police host Murang'a SEAL in the FKF Premier League on Wednesday 6 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Police Sacco Stadium.
Form guide
Police's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Shabana 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Murang'a SEAL's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Nairobi United 2–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Police arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Police and 0.6 for Murang'a SEAL. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Police 66%, draw 11%, Murang'a SEAL 23%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 87% chance. Predicted score: Police 1–0 Murang'a SEAL. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Police66%fair 1.52
Draw11%fair 9.09
Murang'a SEAL23%fair 4.35
1.95Expected goals
1.40Police xG
0.55Murang'a SEAL xG
37%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–014%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Police 1.4 – 0.6 Murang'a SEAL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Police to win✓
66%
1.52
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
63%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Police / FT Police✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.04
–
Form
Police – last 6
WDWLWW
2 May
@ Shabana
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ Mathare United
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Tusker
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Bandari
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Sofapaka
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Murang'a SEAL – last 6
LLLDDW
19 Apr
vs Nairobi United
2–4
L
5 Apr
vs AFC Leopards
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Shabana
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Mathare United
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ KCB
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Police and Murang'a SEAL.
What is the prediction for Police vs Murang'a SEAL?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 87% chance.
Who will win Police vs Murang'a SEAL?
On our numbers Police have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Murang'a SEAL 23%.
How many goals will there be in Police vs Murang'a SEAL?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Police vs Murang'a SEAL?
Our predicted score is Police 1–0 Murang'a SEAL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Police vs Murang'a SEAL?
Police vs Murang'a SEAL (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Police Sacco Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
