Value bet: Kariobangi Sharks to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKariobangi Sharks to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.49
Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks preview and prediction
The match
Bidco United host Kariobangi Sharks in the FKF Premier League on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Kenyatta Stadium.
Form guide
Bidco United's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Posta Rangers FC 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Kariobangi Sharks's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Mara Sugar 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Bidco United and 1.0 for Kariobangi Sharks. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bidco United 34%, draw 26%, Kariobangi Sharks 40%.
Value angle: Kariobangi Sharks to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Bidco United 0–0 Kariobangi Sharks. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bidco United34%fair 2.91 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.80
Kariobangi Sharks40%fair 2.52 · @2.80
1.84Expected goals
0.87Bidco United xG
0.97Kariobangi Sharks xG
43%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–016%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Bidco United 0.9 – 1.0 Kariobangi Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kariobangi Sharks to win✗
40%
2.52
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.49
–
Form
Bidco United – last 6
DLLDDW
24 Apr
@ Posta Rangers FC
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs KCB
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Bandari
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Sofapaka
0–0
D
14 Mar
@ APS Bomet
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Ulinzi Stars
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Kariobangi Sharks – last 6
LDLLWL
18 Apr
vs Mara Sugar
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ GOR Mahia
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Shabana
2–1
W
2 Mar
vs Tusker
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bidco United and Kariobangi Sharks.
What is the prediction for Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks?
On our numbers Bidco United have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kariobangi Sharks 40%.
How many goals will there be in Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our predicted score is Bidco United 0–0 Kariobangi Sharks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Bidco United vs Kariobangi Sharks (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kenyatta Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
