Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
–Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNairobi United to win ✓50% · fair 2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United preview and prediction
The match
The FKF Premier League sees Murang'a SEAL take on Nairobi United on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at SportPesa Arena. Murang'a SEAL are 8th with 8 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Nairobi United sit 15th on 5 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Murang'a SEAL's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to AFC Leopards 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Nairobi United's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Homeboyz 2–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Murang'a SEAL and 1.3 for Nairobi United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Murang'a SEAL 39%, draw 11%, Nairobi United 50%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance. Predicted score: Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Nairobi United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Murang'a SEAL39%fair 2.56
Draw11%fair 9.09
Nairobi United50%fair 2.00
2.30Expected goals
1.04Murang'a SEAL xG
1.26Nairobi United xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 1.0 – 1.3 Nairobi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nairobi United to win✓
50%
2.00
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nairobi United / FT Nairobi United✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.91
–
Form
Murang'a SEAL – last 6
LLDDWL
5 Apr
vs AFC Leopards
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Shabana
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Mathare United
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ KCB
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ Tusker
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nairobi United – last 6
DWDDLL
8 Apr
vs Homeboyz
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Shabana
3–0
W
1 Apr
vs Mara Sugar
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ APS Bomet
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Ulinzi Stars
1–2
L
18 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murang'a SEAL and Nairobi United.
What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?
On our numbers Murang'a SEAL have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Nairobi United 50%.
How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?
Our predicted score is Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Nairobi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United?
Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at SportPesa Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
