Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.99
GOR Mahia vs Bandari preview and prediction
The match
Bandari travel to Moi International Sports Centre in the FKF Premier League on Sunday 19 April (14:15 WAT) to face GOR Mahia. GOR Mahia are 1st with 13 points from 6 games (top of the table), while Bandari sit 9th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
GOR Mahia's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Tusker 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Bandari's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Sofapaka 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
GOR Mahia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for GOR Mahia and 0.8 for Bandari. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: GOR Mahia 53%, draw 11%, Bandari 36%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 88% chance. Predicted score: GOR Mahia 1–0 Bandari. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GOR Mahia53%fair 1.89
Draw11%fair 9.09
Bandari36%fair 2.78
1.89Expected goals
1.10GOR Mahia xG
0.79Bandari xG
42%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: GOR Mahia 1.1 – 0.8 Bandari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GOR Mahia to win✗
53%
1.89
–
Double chance
Either team to win✗
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.99
–
Form
GOR Mahia – last 6
LDWDWW
14 Apr
@ Tusker
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Kariobangi Sharks
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Ulinzi Stars
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs KCB
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ APS Bomet
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bandari – last 6
DWDDLD
3 Apr
@ Sofapaka
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Bidco United
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Homeboyz
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Mara Sugar
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Police
0–2
L
25 Feb
vs Nairobi United
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GOR Mahia and Bandari.
On our numbers GOR Mahia have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Bandari 36%.
How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs Bandari?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GOR Mahia vs Bandari?
Our predicted score is GOR Mahia 1–0 Bandari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is GOR Mahia vs Bandari?
GOR Mahia vs Bandari (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Moi International Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
