Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNairobi United to win ✓41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Nairobi United vs Shabana preview and prediction
The match
Shabana travel to Nyayo National Stadium in the FKF Premier League on Sunday 5 April (14:15 WAT) to face Nairobi United. Nairobi United are 15th with 5 points from 6 games (in the bottom half), while Shabana sit 5th on 9 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Nairobi United's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Mara Sugar 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Shabana's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Murang'a SEAL 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shabana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Nairobi United and 1.0 for Shabana. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nairobi United 41%, draw 26%, Shabana 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Nairobi United 1–1 Shabana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nairobi United41%fair 2.47 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.88
Shabana34%fair 2.96 · @2.88
2.16Expected goals
1.15Nairobi United xG
1.01Shabana xG
46%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Nairobi United 1.1 – 1.0 Shabana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nairobi United to win✓
41%
2.47
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nairobi United / FT Nairobi United✓
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.56
–
Form
Nairobi United – last 6
DDLLWD
1 Apr
vs Mara Sugar
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ APS Bomet
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Ulinzi Stars
1–2
L
18 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
14 Mar
@ Sofapaka
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs KCB
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Shabana – last 5
WLLWW
29 Mar
vs Murang'a SEAL
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Kariobangi Sharks
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
1–5
L
25 Feb
@ Mathare United
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Tusker
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nairobi United and Shabana.
What is the prediction for Nairobi United vs Shabana?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Nairobi United vs Shabana?
On our numbers Nairobi United have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Shabana 34%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi United vs Shabana?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nairobi United vs Shabana?
Our predicted score is Nairobi United 1–1 Shabana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nairobi United vs Shabana?
Nairobi United vs Shabana (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Nyayo National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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