Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.35
Police vs Tusker preview and prediction
The match
Tusker travel to Police Sacco Stadium in the FKF Premier League on Friday 3 April (14:15 WAT) to face Police.
Form guide
Police's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Posta Rangers FC 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tusker's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to AFC Leopards 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.8 for Police and 0.9 for Tusker. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Police 42%, draw 13%, Tusker 45%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 90% chance. Predicted score: Police 0–0 Tusker. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Police42%fair 2.38
Draw13%fair 7.69
Tusker45%fair 2.22
1.74Expected goals
0.84Police xG
0.90Tusker xG
41%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
0–116%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Police 0.8 – 0.9 Tusker expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tusker to win✗
45%
2.22
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.35
–
Form
Police – last 5
LWWDD
13 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Bandari
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Sofapaka
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs APS Bomet
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tusker – last 5
LWWWL
22 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Homeboyz
2–0
W
2 Mar
@ Kariobangi Sharks
2–1
W
25 Feb
vs Murang'a SEAL
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Shabana
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Police and Tusker.
On our numbers Police have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Tusker 45%.
How many goals will there be in Police vs Tusker?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Police vs Tusker?
Our predicted score is Police 0–0 Tusker, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Police vs Tusker?
Police vs Tusker (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Police Sacco Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
