Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShabana to win ✓46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.68
Shabana vs Tusker preview and prediction
The match
Tusker travel to Gusii Stadium in the FKF Premier League on Saturday 21 February (12:00 WAT) to face Shabana. Shabana are 5th with 9 points from 6 games (in the top half), while Tusker sit 11th on 6 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Shabana and 0.9 for Tusker. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Shabana 46%, draw 24%, Tusker 30%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Shabana 1–1 Tusker. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shabana46%fair 2.16 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.85
Tusker30%fair 3.33 · @3.35
2.08Expected goals
1.20Shabana xG
0.88Tusker xG
44%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Shabana 1.2 – 0.9 Tusker expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shabana to win✓
46%
2.16
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shabana / FT Shabana✓
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.68
–
Form
Shabana
No recent results on record.
Tusker
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shabana and Tusker.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Shabana vs Tusker?
On our numbers Shabana have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tusker 30%.
How many goals will there be in Shabana vs Tusker?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shabana vs Tusker?
Our predicted score is Shabana 1–1 Tusker, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Shabana vs Tusker?
Shabana vs Tusker (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Gusii Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
