Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMelbourne Victory to win ✓48% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory preview and prediction
The match
The A League sees Western Sydney Wanderers take on Melbourne Victory on Saturday 25 April, kicking off at 10:35 (WAT) at CommBank Stadium. Western Sydney Wanderers are 6th with 5 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Melbourne Victory sit 9th on 3 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Western Sydney Wanderers's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Wellington Phoenix 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Melbourne Victory's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Newcastle Jets 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Melbourne Victory arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.3 for Western Sydney Wanderers and 1.7 for Melbourne Victory. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Western Sydney Wanderers 33%, draw 19%, Melbourne Victory 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Western Sydney Wanderers 1–1 Melbourne Victory. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Western Sydney Wanderers33%fair 3.07 · @3.10
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.95
Melbourne Victory48%fair 2.06 · @2.04
3.05Expected goals
1.34Western Sydney Wanderers xG
1.71Melbourne Victory xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Western Sydney Wanderers 1.3 – 1.7 Melbourne Victory expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne Victory to win✓
48%
2.06
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne Victory / FT Melbourne Victory✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.79
–
Form
Western Sydney Wanderers – last 6
LLLLDL
18 Apr
@ Wellington Phoenix
1–2
L
11 Apr
vs Sydney
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ Melbourne City
0–3
L
20 Mar
vs Adelaide United
2–4
L
13 Mar
@ Brisbane Roar
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Newcastle Jets
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Melbourne Victory – last 6
DDLWWD
17 Apr
vs Newcastle Jets
2–2
D
11 Apr
@ Auckland
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Wellington Phoenix
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Central Coast Mariners
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Macarthur
4–1
W
7 Mar
@ Sydney
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne Victory.
What is the prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory?
On our numbers Western Sydney Wanderers have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Melbourne Victory 48%.
How many goals will there be in Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory?
Our predicted score is Western Sydney Wanderers 1–1 Melbourne Victory, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory?
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory (A League) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 10:35 (West Africa Time) at CommBank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
