Value bet: Newcastle Jets to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewcastle Jets to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets preview and prediction
The match
Macarthur host Newcastle Jets in the A League on Thursday 2 April, with kick-off at 09:35 (WAT) at Campbelltown Stadium. Macarthur are 7th with 5 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Newcastle Jets sit 10th on 2 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Macarthur's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Auckland 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Newcastle Jets's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Sydney 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Newcastle Jets arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Newcastle Jets 1–0 Macarthur.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.6 for Macarthur and 1.8 for Newcastle Jets. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Newcastle Jets to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Macarthur 1–1 Newcastle Jets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Macarthur36%fair 2.79 · @2.34
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @4.10
Newcastle Jets44%fair 2.30 · @2.50
3.42Expected goals
1.62Macarthur xG
1.80Newcastle Jets xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–25%
From our goals model: Macarthur 1.6 – 1.8 Newcastle Jets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets?
On our numbers Macarthur have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newcastle Jets 44%.
How many goals will there be in Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets?
Our predicted score is Macarthur 1–1 Newcastle Jets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets?
Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets (A League) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 09:35 (West Africa Time) at Campbelltown Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
