Perth Glory vs Melbourne City preview and prediction
The match
Melbourne City travel to HBF Park in the A League on Sunday 22 March (09:00 WAT) to face Perth Glory. Perth Glory are 5th with 6 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Melbourne City sit 4th on 7 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Perth Glory's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Wellington Phoenix 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Melbourne City's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Sydney 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Melbourne City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for Perth Glory and 1.5 for Melbourne City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Perth Glory 30%, draw 21%, Melbourne City 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Perth Glory 1–1 Melbourne City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Perth Glory30%fair 3.35 · @3.55
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Melbourne City50%fair 2.01 · @1.97
2.66Expected goals
1.12Perth Glory xG
1.55Melbourne City xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Perth Glory 1.1 – 1.5 Melbourne City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne City to win✗
50%
2.01
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne City / FT Melbourne City✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.28
–
Form
Perth Glory – last 5
LDDLL
14 Mar
@ Wellington Phoenix
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Auckland
2–2
D
28 Feb
@ Brisbane Roar
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Adelaide United
0–4
L
13 Feb
vs Newcastle Jets
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Melbourne City – last 5
WDLLD
17 Mar
@ Sydney
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Buriram United
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Auckland
0–3
L
21 Feb
vs Melbourne Victory
1–3
L
18 Feb
vs Gangwon FC
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Perth Glory and Melbourne City.
What is the prediction for Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
On our numbers Perth Glory have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Melbourne City 50%.
How many goals will there be in Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
Our predicted score is Perth Glory 1–1 Melbourne City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Perth Glory vs Melbourne City?
Perth Glory vs Melbourne City (A League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at HBF Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
