Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Central Coast Mariners to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCentral Coast Mariners to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United preview and prediction
The match
The A League sees Central Coast Mariners take on Adelaide United on Saturday 14 March, kicking off at 05:00 (WAT) at polytec Stadium. Central Coast Mariners are 11th with 2 points from 4 games (in the bottom three), while Adelaide United sit 12th on 1 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Central Coast Mariners's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Macarthur 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Adelaide United's last 4: DDWW Most recently they drew with Wellington Phoenix 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Central Coast Mariners and 1.5 for Adelaide United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Central Coast Mariners 39%, draw 23%, Adelaide United 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Central Coast Mariners to win at 2.90 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Central Coast Mariners 1–1 Adelaide United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Central Coast Mariners39%fair 2.57 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.40
Adelaide United38%fair 2.61 · @2.20
3.00Expected goals
1.51Central Coast Mariners xG
1.49Adelaide United xG
66%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Central Coast Mariners 1.5 – 1.5 Adelaide United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Central Coast Mariners to win✗
39%
2.57
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Central Coast Mariners / FT Central Coast Mariners✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.86
–
Form
Central Coast Mariners – last 3
WDW
4 Mar
@ Macarthur
3–1
W
28 Feb
vs Newcastle Jets
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Adelaide United – last 4
DDWW
6 Mar
vs Wellington Phoenix
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Melbourne Victory
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Perth Glory
4–0
W
14 Feb
@ Sydney
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Central Coast Mariners and Adelaide United.
What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?
On our numbers Central Coast Mariners have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Adelaide United 38%.
How many goals will there be in Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?
Our predicted score is Central Coast Mariners 1–1 Adelaide United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?
Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United (A League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at polytec Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
