Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Sydney to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSydney to win ✓58% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney preview and prediction
The match
The A League sees Wellington Phoenix take on Sydney on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Sky Stadium. Wellington Phoenix are 1st with 10 points from 4 games (top of the table), while Sydney sit 2nd on 7 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sydney's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Brisbane Roar 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Wellington Phoenix and 2.0 for Sydney. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wellington Phoenix 22%, draw 21%, Sydney 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Sydney to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Wellington Phoenix 1–1 Sydney. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wellington Phoenix22%fair 4.63 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.70
Sydney58%fair 1.73 · @1.90
3.09Expected goals
1.12Wellington Phoenix xG
1.97Sydney xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Wellington Phoenix 1.1 – 2.0 Sydney expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sydney to win✓
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Half-time result
Sydney ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sydney / FT Sydney✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Wellington Phoenix – last 2
LD
21 Feb
vs Auckland
0–5
L
13 Feb
@ Western Sydney Wanderers
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sydney – last 3
WDL
21 Feb
vs Brisbane Roar
1–0
W
17 Feb
vs Auckland
1–1
D
14 Feb
vs Adelaide United
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wellington Phoenix and Sydney.
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney?
On our numbers Wellington Phoenix have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sydney 58%.
How many goals will there be in Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney?
Our predicted score is Wellington Phoenix 1–1 Sydney, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney?
Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney (A League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Sky Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
