Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewcastle Jets to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗71% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur preview and prediction
The match
Newcastle Jets host Macarthur in the A League on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 08:00 (WAT) at McDonald Jones Stadium. Newcastle Jets are 10th with 2 points from 4 games (in the bottom three), while Macarthur sit 7th on 5 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Newcastle Jets and 1.3 for Macarthur. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Newcastle Jets to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Newcastle Jets 2–1 Macarthur. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle Jets60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
Draw17%fair 5.76 · @4.10
Macarthur22%fair 4.47 · @3.35
3.55Expected goals
2.25Newcastle Jets xG
1.30Macarthur xG
71%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Newcastle Jets 2.3 – 1.3 Macarthur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle Jets to win✓
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
71%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.80
Half-time result
Newcastle Jets ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle Jets / FT Newcastle Jets✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Form
Newcastle Jets – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Perth Glory
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Macarthur – last 1
D
19 Feb
vs Bangkok United
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle Jets and Macarthur.
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Our pick is Newcastle Jets to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
On our numbers Newcastle Jets have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Macarthur 22%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Our predicted score is Newcastle Jets 2–1 Macarthur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur?
Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur (A League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
