Double chanceMelbourne Victory or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 8.00
Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar preview and prediction
The match
The A League sees Melbourne Victory take on Brisbane Roar on Saturday 14 February, kicking off at 07:00 (WAT) at AAMI Park. Melbourne Victory are 9th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Brisbane Roar sit 3rd on 7 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Melbourne Victory and 0.8 for Brisbane Roar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Melbourne Victory or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Melbourne Victory 2–0 Brisbane Roar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Melbourne Victory61%fair 1.64 · @1.63
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.85
Brisbane Roar15%fair 6.65 · @5.10
2.71Expected goals
1.87Melbourne Victory xG
0.83Brisbane Roar xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Melbourne Victory 1.9 – 0.8 Brisbane Roar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne Victory to win✗
61%
1.64
1.63
Double chance
Melbourne Victory or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Half-time result
Melbourne Victory ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne Victory / FT Melbourne Victory✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
8.00
–
Form
Melbourne Victory
No recent results on record.
Brisbane Roar
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar.
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?
On our numbers Melbourne Victory have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brisbane Roar 15%.
How many goals will there be in Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?
Our predicted score is Melbourne Victory 2–0 Brisbane Roar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar?
Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar (A League) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at AAMI Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
