Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners preview and prediction
The match
The A League sees Melbourne City take on Central Coast Mariners on Tuesday 7 April, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT) at AAMI Park. Melbourne City are 4th with 7 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Central Coast Mariners sit 11th on 2 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Melbourne City's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Western Sydney Wanderers 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Central Coast Mariners's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Perth Glory 2–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Melbourne City and 0.8 for Central Coast Mariners. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Melbourne City 68%, draw 19%, Central Coast Mariners 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Melbourne City 2–0 Central Coast Mariners. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Melbourne City68%fair 1.47 · @1.41
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @4.60
Central Coast Mariners13%fair 7.61 · @7.00
2.83Expected goals
2.06Melbourne City xG
0.76Central Coast Mariners xG
51%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Melbourne City 2.1 – 0.8 Central Coast Mariners expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne City to win✓
68%
1.47
1.41
Double chance
Melbourne City or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.45
Half-time result
Melbourne City ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne City / FT Melbourne City✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.94
–
Form
Melbourne City – last 6
WDWDLL
4 Apr
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Perth Glory
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ Sydney
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Buriram United
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Auckland
0–3
L
21 Feb
vs Melbourne Victory
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Central Coast Mariners – last 6
DLDWDW
4 Apr
vs Perth Glory
2–2
D
21 Mar
@ Melbourne Victory
1–4
L
14 Mar
vs Adelaide United
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Macarthur
3–1
W
28 Feb
vs Newcastle Jets
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Melbourne City and Central Coast Mariners.
What is the prediction for Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners?
On our numbers Melbourne City have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Central Coast Mariners 13%.
How many goals will there be in Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners?
Our predicted score is Melbourne City 2–0 Central Coast Mariners, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners?
Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners (A League) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at AAMI Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
