Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaku Sportinq to win ✓48% · @1.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.87
Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq preview and prediction
The match
The Birinci Dasta sees Cəbrayıl take on Baku Sportinq on Thursday 7 May, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Cəbrayıl are 1st with 16 points from 7 games (top of the table), while Baku Sportinq sit 10th on 1 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cəbrayıl's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Səbail 0–6 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Baku Sportinq's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Difai Ağsu 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 February 2026, finished Cəbrayıl 1–2 Baku Sportinq.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.8 for Cəbrayıl and 1.3 for Baku Sportinq. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cəbrayıl 32%, draw 20%, Baku Sportinq 48%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cəbrayıl 1–1 Baku Sportinq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cəbrayıl32%fair 3.15 · @5.10
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.70
Baku Sportinq48%fair 2.08 · @1.52
3.11Expected goals
1.82Cəbrayıl xG
1.28Baku Sportinq xG
51%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cəbrayıl 1.8 – 1.3 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq?
On our numbers Cəbrayıl have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Baku Sportinq 48%.
How many goals will there be in Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq?
Our predicted score is Cəbrayıl 1–1 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq?
Cəbrayıl vs Baku Sportinq (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
