Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMOIK to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.26
MOIK vs Şahdağ preview and prediction
The match
MOIK host Şahdağ in the Birinci Dasta on Wednesday 29 April, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). MOIK are 3rd with 14 points from 7 games (in the top four), while Şahdağ sit 2nd on 15 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
MOIK's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Safa Baku 0–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Şahdağ's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Zaqatala 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Şahdağ arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 March 2026, finished Şahdağ 1–1 MOIK.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for MOIK and 1.0 for Şahdağ. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: MOIK 61%, draw 15%, Şahdağ 25%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was MOIK to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: MOIK 1–0 Şahdağ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MOIK61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw15%fair 6.78 · @3.45
Şahdağ25%fair 4.08 · @3.10
2.83Expected goals
1.83MOIK xG
1.00Şahdağ xG
49%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: MOIK 1.8 – 1.0 Şahdağ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is MOIK to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win MOIK vs Şahdağ?
On our numbers MOIK have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Şahdağ 25%.
How many goals will there be in MOIK vs Şahdağ?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MOIK vs Şahdağ?
Our predicted score is MOIK 1–0 Şahdağ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is MOIK vs Şahdağ?
MOIK vs Şahdağ (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
