Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMingəçevir to win ✗64% · @1.48
Double chanceMingəçevir or draw ✗87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.67
Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir preview and prediction
The match
The Birinci Dasta sees Cəbrayıl take on Mingəçevir on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Cəbrayıl are 1st with 16 points from 7 games (top of the table), while Mingəçevir sit 9th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cəbrayıl's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Şahdağ 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Mingəçevir's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Difai Ağsu 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Mingəçevir arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Cəbrayıl and 2.1 for Mingəçevir. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cəbrayıl 13%, draw 23%, Mingəçevir 64%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mingəçevir to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Cəbrayıl 0–2 Mingəçevir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cəbrayıl13%fair 7.52 · @5.25
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @4.00
Mingəçevir64%fair 1.56 · @1.48
2.91Expected goals
0.85Cəbrayıl xG
2.06Mingəçevir xG
47%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Cəbrayıl 0.9 – 2.1 Mingəçevir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mingəçevir to win✗
64%
1.56
1.48
Double chance
Mingəçevir or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Mingəçevir ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mingəçevir / FT Mingəçevir✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
8%
12.67
–
Form
Cəbrayıl – last 6
DWLDWL
15 Apr
@ Şahdağ
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs Zaqatala
3–2
W
2 Apr
@ MOIK
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ Difai Ağsu
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Zaqatala
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Səbail
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mingəçevir – last 6
WWWDLW
16 Apr
vs Difai Ağsu
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Şimal
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Safa Baku
5–2
W
18 Mar
@ Baku Sportinq
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Səbail
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Baku Sportinq
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cəbrayıl and Mingəçevir.
What is the prediction for Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir?
Our pick is Mingəçevir to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir?
On our numbers Cəbrayıl have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mingəçevir 64%.
How many goals will there be in Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir?
Our predicted score is Cəbrayıl 0–2 Mingəçevir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir?
Cəbrayıl vs Mingəçevir (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
