Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultŞahdağ to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceŞahdağ or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.64
Şahdağ vs Şimal preview and prediction
The match
Şahdağ host Şimal in the Birinci Dasta on Friday 3 April, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT). Şahdağ are 2nd with 15 points from 6 games (in the top four), while Şimal sit 6th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Şahdağ's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Safa Baku 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Şimal's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Zaqatala 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 February 2026, finished Şimal 0–1 Şahdağ.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Şahdağ and 0.8 for Şimal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 46% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Şahdağ 68%, draw 22%, Şimal 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Şahdağ to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Şahdağ 2–0 Şimal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Şahdağ68%fair 1.48 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.20
Şimal11%fair 9.49 · @5.50
3.09Expected goals
2.26Şahdağ xG
0.83Şimal xG
46%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Şahdağ 2.3 – 0.8 Şimal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Şahdağ to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Şahdağ vs Şimal?
On our numbers Şahdağ have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Şimal 11%.
How many goals will there be in Şahdağ vs Şimal?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şahdağ vs Şimal?
Our predicted score is Şahdağ 2–0 Şimal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Şahdağ vs Şimal?
Şahdağ vs Şimal (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
