The Birinci Dasta sees Şimal take on Zaqatala on Thursday 19 March, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Şimal are 6th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Zaqatala sit 8th on 5 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Şimal's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Safa Baku 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Zaqatala's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Cəbrayıl 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 March 2026, finished Zaqatala 3–4 Şimal.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.8 for Şimal and 2.3 for Zaqatala. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Şimal 9%, draw 22%, Zaqatala 69%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Zaqatala to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Şimal 0–2 Zaqatala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Şimal9%fair 10.66 · @6.00
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.20
Zaqatala69%fair 1.45 · @1.40
3.08Expected goals
0.80Şimal xG
2.28Zaqatala xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Şimal 0.8 – 2.3 Zaqatala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Zaqatala to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Şimal vs Zaqatala?
On our numbers Şimal have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Zaqatala 69%.
How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Zaqatala?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şimal vs Zaqatala?
Our predicted score is Şimal 0–2 Zaqatala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Şimal vs Zaqatala?
Şimal vs Zaqatala (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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