The Birinci Dasta sees Difai Ağsu take on Safa Baku on Wednesday 25 February, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for Difai Ağsu and 2.1 for Safa Baku. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Difai Ağsu 19%, draw 17%, Safa Baku 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Difai Ağsu 1–2 Safa Baku. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Difai Ağsu19%fair 5.40 · @7.00
Draw17%fair 5.81 · @4.33
Safa Baku64%fair 1.56 · @1.36
3.10Expected goals
1.00Difai Ağsu xG
2.10Safa Baku xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Difai Ağsu 1.0 – 2.1 Safa Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Safa Baku to win✓
64%
1.56
1.36
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Safa Baku ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Safa Baku / FT Safa Baku✓
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Difai Ağsu – last 2
LW
19 Feb
@ Zaqatala
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Şimal
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Safa Baku – last 1
D
19 Feb
vs Mingəçevir
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Difai Ağsu and Safa Baku.
What is the prediction for Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku?
On our numbers Difai Ağsu have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Safa Baku 64%.
How many goals will there be in Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku?
Our predicted score is Difai Ağsu 1–2 Safa Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku?
Difai Ağsu vs Safa Baku (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Şahdağ1
Zaqatala0