Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Aris Petroupolis to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAris Petroupolis to win ✗63% · @1.83
Double chanceAris Petroupolis or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.58
Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras preview and prediction
The match
Aris Petroupolis host Diagoras in the Gamma Ethniki Group 5 on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Aris Petroupolis and 0.6 for Diagoras. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Safer route: Aris Petroupolis or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Aris Petroupolis to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aris Petroupolis 1–0 Diagoras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aris Petroupolis63%fair 1.58 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Diagoras15%fair 6.81 · @4.00
2.19Expected goals
1.60Aris Petroupolis xG
0.59Diagoras xG
41%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Aris Petroupolis 1.6 – 0.6 Diagoras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aris Petroupolis to win✗
63%
1.58
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Aris Petroupolis or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aris Petroupolis / FT Aris Petroupolis✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.58
–
Form
Aris Petroupolis – last 1
W
14 Feb
@ Apollon Kalyt.
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Diagoras – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Amarynthiakos
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aris Petroupolis and Diagoras.
What is the prediction for Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras?
Our pick is Aris Petroupolis to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras?
On our numbers Aris Petroupolis have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Diagoras 15%.
How many goals will there be in Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras?
Our predicted score is Aris Petroupolis 1–0 Diagoras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras?
Aris Petroupolis vs Diagoras (Gamma Ethniki Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
