Value bet: Calamocha to win @ 3.70 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCuarte to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.12
Cuarte vs Calamocha preview and prediction
The match
Calamocha travel to Estadio Municipal Juan Guerrero El Lobo in the Tercera División RFEF Group 17 on Sunday 19 April (11:00 WAT) to face Cuarte.
Form guide
Cuarte's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Robres 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Calamocha's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat UD Casetas 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 0.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Cuarte and 0.8 for Calamocha. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cuarte 46%, draw 25%, Calamocha 29%.
Value angle: Calamocha to win at 3.70 – 29% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Cuarte 1–1 Calamocha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cuarte46%fair 2.18 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.70
Calamocha29%fair 3.44 · @3.70
1.93Expected goals
1.13Cuarte xG
0.80Calamocha xG
42%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cuarte 1.1 – 0.8 Calamocha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cuarte to win✗
46%
2.18
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cuarte / FT Cuarte✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.12
–
Form
Cuarte – last 5
WWDWW
2 Apr
@ Robres
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Illueca
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Caspe
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ UD Casetas
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs Épila
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Calamocha – last 5
WWWDD
22 Mar
@ UD Casetas
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Zuera
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ La Almunia
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Épila
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Belchite 97
0–0
D
1.4Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cuarte and Calamocha.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Cuarte vs Calamocha?
On our numbers Cuarte have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Calamocha 29%.
How many goals will there be in Cuarte vs Calamocha?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cuarte vs Calamocha?
Our predicted score is Cuarte 1–1 Calamocha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Cuarte vs Calamocha?
Cuarte vs Calamocha (Tercera División RFEF Group 17) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Juan Guerrero El Lobo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
