Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultYagüe to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceYagüe or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.12
Yagüe vs Pradejón preview and prediction
The match
Yagüe host Pradejón in the Tercera División RFEF Group 16 on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Estadio El Salvador. Yagüe are 12th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Pradejón sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Yagüe's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Anguiano 4–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Pradejón's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Anguiano 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Yagüe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Yagüe and 0.7 for Pradejón. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 44%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yagüe 64%, draw 24%, Pradejón 12%.
Safer route: Yagüe or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Yagüe to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Yagüe 1–0 Pradejón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yagüe64%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.60
Pradejón12%fair 8.45 · @4.20
2.60Expected goals
1.90Yagüe xG
0.71Pradejón xG
44%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Yagüe 1.9 – 0.7 Pradejón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yagüe to win✗
64%
1.55
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Yagüe or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Yagüe ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yagüe / FT Yagüe✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.12
–
Form
Yagüe – last 3
WDD
8 Mar
vs Anguiano
4–2
W
1 Mar
@ La Calzada
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Varea
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pradejón – last 5
LLLWL
15 Mar
vs Anguiano
0–3
L
8 Mar
@ Haro Deportivo
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Agoncillo
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Villegas
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Calahorra
0–2
L
0.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yagüe and Pradejón.
Our pick is Yagüe to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Yagüe vs Pradejón?
On our numbers Yagüe have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pradejón 12%.
How many goals will there be in Yagüe vs Pradejón?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yagüe vs Pradejón?
Our predicted score is Yagüe 1–0 Pradejón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Yagüe vs Pradejón?
Yagüe vs Pradejón (Tercera División RFEF Group 16) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Salvador.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Villegas4
Autol0