Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSubiza to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceSubiza or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓15% · fair 6.66
Oberena vs Subiza preview and prediction
The match
Subiza travel to Estadio Oberena in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 on Sunday 5 April (17:00 WAT) to face Oberena.
Form guide
Oberena's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Ardoi 2–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Subiza's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Izarra 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Subiza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Oberena and 1.8 for Subiza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oberena 14%, draw 24%, Subiza 62%.
Safer route: Subiza or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Subiza to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Oberena 0–1 Subiza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oberena14%fair 7.30 · @3.90
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.30
Subiza62%fair 1.60 · @1.80
2.46Expected goals
0.70Oberena xG
1.76Subiza xG
42%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Oberena 0.7 – 1.8 Subiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Subiza to win✓
62%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Subiza or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Subiza ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Subiza / FT Subiza✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
15%
6.66
–
Form
Oberena – last 3
DLL
8 Mar
vs Ardoi
2–2
D
4 Mar
@ Beti Kozkor
0–4
L
21 Feb
vs Peña Sport
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Subiza – last 6
DLDLDW
29 Mar
vs Izarra
0–0
D
19 Mar
@ Bidezarra
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Txantrea
2–2
D
4 Mar
vs Cirbonero
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Atlético Artajonés
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Aoiz
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oberena and Subiza.
Our pick is Subiza to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Oberena vs Subiza?
On our numbers Oberena have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Subiza 62%.
How many goals will there be in Oberena vs Subiza?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oberena vs Subiza?
Our predicted score is Oberena 0–1 Subiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Oberena vs Subiza?
Oberena vs Subiza (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Oberena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
