Value bet: Avance Ezcabarte to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAvance Ezcabarte to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Valle Egüés vs Avance Ezcabarte preview and prediction
The match
Avance Ezcabarte travel to Estadio Sarriguren in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 on Wednesday 1 April (19:15 WAT) to face Valle Egüés. Valle Egüés are 4th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Avance Ezcabarte sit 8th on 14 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Avance Ezcabarte's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Huarte 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Valle Egüés and 1.5 for Avance Ezcabarte. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valle Egüés 37%, draw 22%, Avance Ezcabarte 41%.
Value angle: Avance Ezcabarte to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Valle Egüés 1–2 Avance Ezcabarte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valle Egüés37%fair 2.69 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
Avance Ezcabarte41%fair 2.47 · @2.62
2.88Expected goals
1.40Valle Egüés xG
1.48Avance Ezcabarte xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Valle Egüés 1.4 – 1.5 Avance Ezcabarte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avance Ezcabarte to win✗
41%
2.47
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avance Ezcabarte / FT Avance Ezcabarte✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.63
–
Form
Valle Egüés – last 2
WD
27 Feb
vs Huarte
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Cortes
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Avance Ezcabarte – last 3
WLW
28 Mar
vs Huarte
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Cortes
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs Bidezarra
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valle Egüés and Avance Ezcabarte.
What is the prediction for Valle Egüés vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Valle Egüés vs Avance Ezcabarte?
On our numbers Valle Egüés have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Avance Ezcabarte 41%.
How many goals will there be in Valle Egüés vs Avance Ezcabarte?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valle Egüés vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Our predicted score is Valle Egüés 1–2 Avance Ezcabarte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Valle Egüés vs Avance Ezcabarte?
Valle Egüés vs Avance Ezcabarte (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sarriguren.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
