Value bet: Izarra to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSubiza to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.61
Subiza vs Izarra preview and prediction
The match
Subiza host Izarra in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Estadio Sotoburu. Subiza are 3rd with 16 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Izarra sit 1st on 26 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Subiza's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Bidezarra 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Subiza and 1.2 for Izarra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Subiza 38%, draw 24%, Izarra 38%.
Value angle: Izarra to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Subiza 1–1 Izarra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Subiza38%fair 2.63 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Izarra38%fair 2.63 · @2.90
2.48Expected goals
1.24Subiza xG
1.24Izarra xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Subiza 1.2 – 1.2 Izarra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Subiza to win✗
38%
2.63
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Subiza / FT Subiza✗
21%
4.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.61
–
Form
Subiza – last 5
LDLDW
19 Mar
@ Bidezarra
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Txantrea
2–2
D
4 Mar
vs Cirbonero
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Atlético Artajonés
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Aoiz
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Izarra – last 2
DW
1 Mar
@ Ardoi
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Beti Kozkor
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Subiza and Izarra.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Subiza vs Izarra?
On our numbers Subiza have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Izarra 38%.
How many goals will there be in Subiza vs Izarra?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Subiza vs Izarra?
Our predicted score is Subiza 1–1 Izarra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Subiza vs Izarra?
Subiza vs Izarra (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sotoburu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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