Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Subiza to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSubiza to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceSubiza or draw ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.92
Bidezarra vs Subiza preview and prediction
The match
Bidezarra host Subiza in the Tercera División RFEF Group 15 on Thursday 19 March, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Campo Bidezarra de Noain. Bidezarra are 18th with 5 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Subiza sit 3rd on 16 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Subiza's last 4: DLDW Most recently they drew with Txantrea 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Bidezarra and 1.6 for Subiza. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bidezarra 15%, draw 23%, Subiza 62%.
Safer route: Subiza or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Subiza to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Subiza or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bidezarra 0–1 Subiza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bidezarra15%fair 6.69 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.20
Subiza62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
2.27Expected goals
0.64Bidezarra xG
1.63Subiza xG
41%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–214%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Bidezarra 0.6 – 1.6 Subiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Subiza to win✗
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Subiza or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Subiza / FT Subiza✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.92
–
Form
Bidezarra – last 2
LD
28 Feb
@ Avance Ezcabarte
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Ardoi
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Subiza – last 4
DLDW
15 Mar
vs Txantrea
2–2
D
4 Mar
vs Cirbonero
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Atlético Artajonés
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Aoiz
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bidezarra and Subiza.
Our pick is Subiza or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bidezarra vs Subiza?
On our numbers Bidezarra have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Subiza 62%.
How many goals will there be in Bidezarra vs Subiza?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bidezarra vs Subiza?
Our predicted score is Bidezarra 0–1 Subiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bidezarra vs Subiza?
Bidezarra vs Subiza (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Bidezarra de Noain.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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