Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSubiza to win ✗60% · @1.48
Double chanceSubiza or draw ✗83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.30
Subiza vs Cirbonero preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 15 sees Subiza take on Cirbonero on Wednesday 4 March, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Estadio Sotoburu. Subiza are 3rd with 16 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Cirbonero sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Subiza and 0.8 for Cirbonero. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Subiza 60%, draw 23%, Cirbonero 17%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Subiza to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Subiza 1–0 Cirbonero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Subiza60%fair 1.67 · @1.48
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.70
Cirbonero17%fair 5.90 · @5.75
2.52Expected goals
1.70Subiza xG
0.82Cirbonero xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Subiza 1.7 – 0.8 Cirbonero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Subiza
Cirbonero
Attack vs Tercera División RFEF Group 15 average
+25%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.79
0.91
Our own ratings from every Tercera División RFEF Group 15 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Subiza to win✗
60%
1.67
1.48
Double chance
Subiza or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Subiza / FT Subiza✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.30
–
Form
Subiza – last 2
DW
21 Feb
@ Atlético Artajonés
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Aoiz
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cirbonero – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs San Juan
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Subiza and Cirbonero.
Our pick is Subiza to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Subiza vs Cirbonero?
On our numbers Subiza have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cirbonero 17%.
How many goals will there be in Subiza vs Cirbonero?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Subiza vs Cirbonero?
Our predicted score is Subiza 1–0 Cirbonero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Subiza vs Cirbonero?
Subiza vs Cirbonero (Tercera División RFEF Group 15) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sotoburu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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